AU· 5 min read

Lendlease Milan sale deadline|A $160m bill instead of an exit?

A sale that could cost money

Lendlease has extended the deadline to sell its stake in the Milano Santa Giulia project in Milan, to 15 October 2026. A sale meant to end its Milan venture could instead require Lendlease to put around $160 million in. The buyer's conditions have not been met. If the deal does not complete, Lendlease says it will likely have to provide significant project funding.

The figure reported is approximately $160 million, in the first half of the 2027 financial year. In the same week, another Lendlease sale did complete. The shares jumped around 12 per cent that day. When the Milan delay was announced, they fell nearly 4 per cent. One sale finished. One did not. And the one that did not now comes with a possible cash bill, for a group whose gearing sits far above its own target.

The asset is called MSG North, a set of development rights within Milano Santa Giulia. Lendlease arranged to sell its stake through its Heartbeat Fund. The buyer is an investment group led by Bizzi & Partners, a local Italian developer. The sale came with conditions precedent. These are requirements that must be satisfied before a deal can close.

They have not been met, and both parties agreed to push the deadline out to 15 October 2026. Lendlease says it will keep working with its partner to fulfil the remaining conditions. It has also said closing remains uncertain. The deadline may be extended again. Milan has already cost Lendlease. The Weekly Times reports the company has booked a $175 million loss on the venture. That loss is already in the accounts.

The $160 million is different in kind. It would be project funding that Lendlease provides itself. As reported, that could affect cash flow in the first half of the 2027 financial year. Side by side, the possible funding is about nine-tenths the size of the loss already booked. Leaving Milan has already produced one large sum. Failing to leave could add a second, this time as money paid in.

Why a stalled exit lands so hard

Selling is not new for Lendlease. Since May 2024, management has contracted or completed more than $3.4 billion of asset sales. Those include the TRX mall in Malaysia and the Keyton retirement living portfolio. Keyton was the most recent. At the end of September, Lendlease completed the $525 million sale of its remaining Keyton stake.

Stockhead reported the shares jumped around 12 per cent, the standout large-cap move that day. The Keyton sale was more than three times the size of the Milan funding risk. Two days later, the ABC reported Lendlease shares fell nearly 4 per cent, off the back of the Milan extension. Two sale updates moved the shares in opposite directions within one week. One deal had closed. The other had slipped.

These sales run through what Lendlease calls its Capital Release Unit. It was created to house the international assets the company is exiting, and to sell them progressively. The list includes US military housing, urban development projects in the UK and Europe, and retail malls in Asia. Around $2.5 billion of invested capital is still in the unit, awaiting sale. Holding those assets is not free.

The unit recorded an EBITDA loss of $500 million in the 2026 financial year. That is a loss even before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation are counted. Kalkine describes the group's losses as the compounding costs of unwinding a sprawling international portfolio. An exit that stalls keeps that unwinding going for longer. The $160 million matters because of where it would land.

Lendlease's 2026 financial year ended with a statutory loss after tax of $749 million. A year earlier, it had made a $225 million profit. Net debt climbed to $3.72 billion. Underlying gearing, a measure of how heavily the group relies on borrowing, reached 37.7 per cent. Management's stated long-term target is 15 per cent. Gearing is now about two and a half times that target. Security holders have already felt this.

Full-year distributions were cut to 15.7 cents per security. The year before, they were 23.0 cents. That is a cut of almost a third. Kalkine described it as removing a key pillar of support for yield-oriented investors. Borrowing costs are also moving the wrong way. The Reserve Bank lifted the cash rate to a 15-year high.

Kalkine reported that markets read the decision as a continued headwind for debt-heavy balance sheets. The Motley Fool notes Lendlease may have to reassess its funding priorities and capital allocation, depending on how Milan ends.

What the share price says about the book

On paper, Lendlease is worth far more than its shares suggest. Net tangible assets stood at $6.16 per security after the 2026 result. That is the value of its tangible assets after liabilities, per security. In late September, the shares fell to a record low of $2.36 during trade. They closed that session at $2.39. That closing price is about 39 cents for every dollar of net tangible assets.

The shares fell 18.71 per cent in September alone. For 2026, the decline reached 53.68 per cent. Kalkine notes a discount that deep would ordinarily attract value-focused buyers. It frames the choice this way. Either the market is pricing a worst case that may not fully happen. Or it is rationally reassessing value, given leverage and execution risk. The book itself has been shrinking.

The $6.16 came after $340 million in non-cash impairments. It also came after $92 million in provisions tied to offshore construction liabilities. Milan shows the same pattern on a smaller scale. The exit has produced a $175 million booked loss so far. Now it carries a possible $160 million funding call as well. Read that way, the gap is partly a question about exits.

Each completed sale turns a book value into a real price. Each stalled one leaves that question open. Lendlease is now selling closer to home, too. It has appointed Savills and CBRE to sell its Victoria Cross office tower in North Sydney. The reported price sought is $1.2 billion. This is not one of the overseas assets in the Capital Release Unit. It is a trophy office tower in Sydney.

It goes to market as new chief executive Nick O'Neil moves to restore the company's fortunes. The tower is about seven and a half times the size of the Milan funding risk. Capital release is no longer only about leaving other countries. It now reaches a major Australian asset, where buyers will set the price.

The fork on 15 October

The first answer arrives on 15 October 2026. That is the deadline for the conditions on the Bizzi-led group's purchase to be satisfied. If they are met and the sale completes, the funding Lendlease flagged would not be triggered. Holders would see another overseas exit closed, as Keyton was. If they are not met, Lendlease says it will likely be required to provide significant project funding.

That money would go out in the first half of the 2027 financial year, with gearing well above target. There is a third possibility. Lendlease has warned the timeline could move again, leaving the question open for longer. The Milan sale was meant to end a costly venture. It now depends on conditions a buyer has yet to meet, with around $160 million on the line.

On 15 October, watch whether Lendlease confirms the conditions were satisfied, or announces another extension. A completed sale keeps that cash on a stretched balance sheet. A failed one sends it to Milan instead.

Sources

Informational only, not investment advice. Figures and quotes come from the linked reports.